ASSESSING CLAIMED EARTHQUAKE LINKS TO ALIGNMENTS OF EARTH, SUN AND ‘COMET’ ELENIN IN 2011 AND BEYOND. Some notes from Míceál Ledwith. The alignments of Sun, ‘Comet’ Elenin and Earth noted in this short document have been derived using the Jet Propulsion Laboratory/NASA Simulator. Give only the astronomical information we have as of May 2011, there is no way to be absolutely certain as yet that the alignments with the ‘comet’ were at least part of the cause of the major earthquakes in Chile, Haiti and Japan. But if the alignments were a cause then we might possibly expect significant earthquake activity on the dates in later 2011 that I have indicated below, bearing in mind that the ‘comet’ will then be five times closer to Earth, and the earthquakes possibly significantly more serious than the ones earlier this year. In addition, during the alignments in late summer and afterwards, the ‘comet’ will be between us and the Sun, whereas in the earlier alignments this year, the ‘comet’ was on one side of the Earth, the Sun on the other. From June onwards, with the Sun and ‘comet’ pulling on Earth from the same direction, this could possibly mean the exertion of a greater force on the earth as compared to when the Sun and Elenin were on opposite sides of the Earth. And as already pointed out, the ‘comet’ will also be much nearer then than it was in March. These dates of the upcoming alignments are also highlighted in red in the tables below, with the distances of Elenin from Earth at those dates. 25-27 September 2011 15-17 October 4-5 November 21-23 November In mid June the ‘comet’ and Sun will be at 90 degrees to each other in relation to the earth. You can access the JPL Simulator yourself at http://secchi.nrl.navy.mil/STEREOorbit/C2010_X1.html and also gather the information on earthquakes from the many such sites that provide such data, such as the USGS site. However, in what should save you a lot of work, and provide the relevant data in an easily referenced and easily understood form, all in one place, I’ve summarized here the place, time, magnitude and depth of the earthquakes since the ‘comet’ became a factor, whether the earthquake site was facing towards or away from the ‘ comet at the time of the occurrence, and the distance from the Earth in AU that the ‘comet’ will be at throughout the various stages of its passage through the solar system. The dates of the alignments of Elenin with Sun and Earth are highlighted in red in the tables below. Please bear in mind that when an object is still 170,000,000 miles from earth, information on its trajectory and speed are constantly being updated, so the dates for the alignments may yet vary by a few days in the later part of this year. Notes: A. "Comet" Elenin (technically known as C/2010 1X) was observed for the first time on 10 December 2010 by Leonid Elenin, an amateur astronomer, working remotely from Russia with American equipment, at the remote-controlled ISON-NM observatory near Mayhill, New Mexico. For the last few months, groups who believe Elenin is a planet (perhaps even the fabled Nebiru/Planet X/Wormwood, etc) whose passage will cause havoc on Earth later this year, and those who believe it’s just another harmless comet, have been hurling choice epithets at each other. This short document is an attempt to collate the alleged links between the alignments of ‘Comet’, Sun and Earth, and the major earthquakes which have occurred since ‘Comet’ Elenin’s approach to our solar system, and then to note the dates of the alignments that have still to occur in 2011. The significant factors on those dates that could be calculated to create worse situations than already occurred in spring 2011 are noted. Obviously a great deal depends on whether this object is in fact a comet, or whether it is a planet, since a comet apparently would not have the necessary mass to exert a gravitational attraction of any significance on Earth. If it turns out to be a planet, then certainly the extreme closeness of its approach to Earth, especially in September/October 2011, would be extremely likely to create even more major earth changes. Obviously the man or woman in the street has no way of resolving that dispute right now. Nor do we know for absolute certainty if the March alignments were actually a factor in the major earthquakes then. We know there were alignments when they occurred; from the astronomical evidence alone we do not yet know as an absolute certainty if those alignments were a major factor in causing them. When we observe what may happen on the four alignment daters this Summer and Fall we will know, and it is obviously far better to be prepared, even should nothing happen, than to be unprepared if something very srious does lie ahead in these very disturbed times. That is all that can be done until more hard information is given out by those who control the necessary instrumentation. B. 1 AU here is taken as approx. 93,000,000 miles, or the mean of the distance between the earth and the sun, which fluctuates. C. Elenin will start to enter the inner solar system in mid-June 2011, crossing the orbit of Mars about 25 June. It should be visible to the naked eye in August. At present it is in the constellation Leo, about 15 magnitude and thus viewable only with large telescopes. Stars and planets magnitude 7 upwards are not visible to the naked eye. In mid August 2011 Elenin will be magnitude 6. D. The closest approach of Elenin to Earth on 16 October 2011 is estimated to be 0.232 AU or 21.576 million miles. Due to the extreme distance of this object from us obviously information on its position and trajectory is being updated constantly. I have used the Jet Propulsion Laboratory’s Simulator for the statistics I have used here, valid as of mid- May 2011. The distance from earth to moon fluctuates between 225,622 to 252,088 miles, which means that Elenin at its closest approach, (if that is assumed to be at a distance of 0.2323 AU) would still be 86 times farther away from us than the moon. E. In the tables below I’ve indicated whether the earthquake location was facing towards or away from the ‘comet’ when the earthquake occurred. F. In summary, there were alignments between Earth, Sun and ‘comet’ at the time of the Chilean 8.8 earthquake of February 2010, and also in the period 9-25 March 2011 when the two Japanese quakes of 7.2 and 9.0 occurred and the Japanese 6.6 and Myanmar 6.8 occurred. The frequency and strength of those quakes were not typical of earlier periods. But it is simply not possible to say definitively yet from the astronomical information to hand, that the alignments were a major factor in those quakes, but it is certainly a potential, and should alert us to be watchful on the dates of the next four alignments. G. On 25-27 September 2011 there will be a direct alignment of Sun, ‘comet’ and Earth, the first such direct alignment since the occurrences of March 2011. Alignments also occur on 17 October, 5 November and 23 November. H. In mid to late June 2011, from the vantage point of Earth, the Sun and ‘comet’ will be at 90 degrees to each other; effect of this configuration unknown. 2011 + = Alignment of Sun, Comet and Earth.
Some Past data for comparison. 2009
Míceál Ledwith 22 May 2011
Copyright © 2006 -
Míceál F. Ledwith All rights reserved.
Back to Articles List
|